- •Foreword
- •Acknowledgements
- •Table of contents
- •Executive summary
- •Introduction
- •Purpose and scope
- •Structure of the report
- •Definitions
- •Classification of rail transport services
- •Key parameters
- •Data sources
- •References
- •1. Status of rail transport
- •Highlights
- •Introduction
- •Rail transport networks
- •Urban rail network
- •Conventional rail network for passenger and freight services
- •High-speed rail network
- •Rail transport activity
- •Passenger rail
- •Urban rail
- •Conventional and high-speed rail
- •Freight rail
- •What shapes rail transport?
- •Passenger rail
- •Freight rail
- •Rail transport and the energy sector
- •Energy demand from rail transport
- •Energy intensity of rail transport services
- •GHG emissions and local pollutants
- •Well-to-wheel GHG emissions in rail transport
- •Additional emissions: Looking at rail from a life-cycle perspective
- •High-speed rail
- •Urban rail
- •Freight rail
- •Conclusions
- •References
- •Introduction
- •Rail network developments
- •Rail transport activity
- •Passenger rail
- •Urban rail
- •Conventional and high-speed rail
- •Freight rail
- •Implications for energy demand
- •Implications for GHG emissions and local pollutants
- •Direct CO2 emissions
- •Well-to-wheel GHG emissions
- •Emissions of local pollutants
- •References
- •3. High Rail Scenario: Unlocking the Benefits of Rail
- •Highlights
- •Introduction
- •Motivations for increasing the role of rail transport
- •Urban rail
- •Conventional and high-speed rail
- •Freight rail
- •Trends in the High Rail Scenario
- •Main assumptions
- •Rail network developments in the High Rail Scenario
- •Rail transport activity
- •Passenger rail in the High Rail Scenario
- •Urban rail
- •Conventional and high-speed rail
- •Freight rail in the High Rail Scenario
- •Implications for energy demand
- •Implications for GHG emissions and local pollutants
- •Direct CO2 emissions in the High Rail Scenario
- •Well-to-wheel GHG emissions
- •Investment requirements in the High Rail Scenario
- •Fuel expenditure
- •Policy opportunities to promote rail
- •Passenger rail
- •Urban rail
- •Conventional and high-speed rail
- •Freight rail
- •Conclusions
- •4. Focus on India
- •Highlights
- •Introduction
- •Status of rail transport
- •Passenger rail
- •Urban rail
- •Conventional passenger rail
- •High-speed rail
- •Freight rail
- •Dedicated freight corridors
- •Rail transport energy demand and emissions
- •Energy demand from rail transport
- •GHG emissions and local pollutants
- •Outlook for rail to 2050
- •Outlook for rail in the Base Scenario
- •Context
- •Trends in the Base Scenario
- •Passenger rail
- •Freight rail
- •Implications for energy demand
- •Implications for GHG and local pollutant emissions
- •Outlook for rail in the High Rail Scenario
- •Key assumptions
- •Trends in the High Rail Scenario
- •Passenger and freight rail activity
- •Implications for energy demand
- •Implications for GHG and local pollutant emissions
- •Conclusions
- •References
- •Acronyms, abbreviations and units of measure
- •Acronyms and abbreviations
- •Units of measure
- •Glossary
IEA 2019. All rights reserved.
The Future of Rail
Opportunities for energy and the environment
1. Status of rail transport
Highlights
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• In 2016, passengers travelled over 4 trillion kilometres by rail, around 8% of total transport |
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passenger-kilometres. Rail travel is concentrated in a few regions: People’s Republic of China |
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(“China”), the European Union, India, Japan and the Russian Federation (“Russia”), which |
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together make up about 90% of global passenger rail activity. Despite rapid expansion of metro |
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and high-speed rail systems over the past decade, the share of rail in global motorised |
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passenger transport has remained roughly constant. |
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• Today, around 600 billion passenger-kilometres are travelled by high-speed rail every year |
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compared with 3 100 billion by conventional rail. Two-out-of-three high-speed rail tracks are in |
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China, which starting from virtually zero only a decade ago has built over 41 000 kilometres of |
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high-speed rail tracks. The speed and size of this achievement place it among the largest |
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infrastructure projects of recent years. |
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• Nearly 200 cities worldwide have metro systems. The combined length of the metro tracks |
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exceeds 32 000 kilometres. Light rail systems add 21 000 kilometres of track length, across |
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more than 220 cities. The pace of extension of China’s metro network since 1990 has |
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outstripped the global average, pushing the country’s share of global metro networks from less |
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than 10% in 1990 to more than 28% in 2017. Since urban rail is typically electric, travel by |
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metro and light rail systems gives rise to none of the tailpipe emissions associated with road |
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transport and can achieve zero-emissions mobility overall. |
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• About 7% of global freight transport activity, as measured in tonne-kilometres, goes by rail. |
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Growth was very rapid at the turn of the century, but slackened and levelled off thereafter. In |
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contrast to Europe, Japan and Korea, where rail networks mostly serve passengers, rail |
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networks in North America overwhelmingly cater to freight transport. In Russia, more than half |
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of freight activity takes place on rail. Australia, Brazil, Canada, India and South Africa also carry |
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substantial volumes of goods by rail. |
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• Rail transport today accounts for close to 2% of final transport energy use, a modest share |
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compared with rail’s share of transport activity. Three-quarters of passenger rail transport and |
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almost half of all freight rail are electric, using around 290 TWh of electricity every year |
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(25 Mtoe). Diesel-powered trains account for the remainder of final energy use (0.6 mb/d, or |
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28 Mtoe a year). Electric and diesel trains together give rise to around 3% of all well-to-wheel |
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greenhouse gas emissions from the transport sector. |
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• Although rail is an energy consumer, it also makes an important contribution to containing energy |
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demand. If all passenger and freight services currently carried by rail switched to road vehicles, such |
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as cars and trucks, global oil demand from transport today would be 16% higher (8 mb/d). The |
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contribution rail makes to containing GHG emissions is as significant as its energy savings. If all |
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current passenger and freight traffic by rail shifted to road vehicles, global GHG emissions would |
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increase by 1.2 Gt of CO2-eq, or 12% more than total emissions from transport today. |
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reserved. |
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• Investment in rail infrastructure is expensive. In order for a rail construction project to pay off, |
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high passenger or freight throughput is necessary. If this condition is met, shifting large |
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quantities of transport away from cars, trucks and planes delivers very important societal and |
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IEA 2019. All rights |
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environmental benefits, which may not be fully captured in conventional commercial pricing. |
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