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IEA 2019. All rights reserved.

The Future of Rail

Opportunities for energy and the environment

1. Status of rail transport

Highlights

 

 

In 2016, passengers travelled over 4 trillion kilometres by rail, around 8% of total transport

 

 

 

 

Page | 25

 

 

passenger-kilometres. Rail travel is concentrated in a few regions: People’s Republic of China

 

 

 

 

 

(“China”), the European Union, India, Japan and the Russian Federation (“Russia”), which

 

 

 

 

 

together make up about 90% of global passenger rail activity. Despite rapid expansion of metro

 

 

 

 

 

and high-speed rail systems over the past decade, the share of rail in global motorised

 

 

 

 

 

passenger transport has remained roughly constant.

 

 

 

 

 

Today, around 600 billion passenger-kilometres are travelled by high-speed rail every year

 

 

 

 

 

compared with 3 100 billion by conventional rail. Two-out-of-three high-speed rail tracks are in

 

 

 

 

 

China, which starting from virtually zero only a decade ago has built over 41 000 kilometres of

 

 

 

 

 

high-speed rail tracks. The speed and size of this achievement place it among the largest

 

 

 

 

 

infrastructure projects of recent years.

 

 

 

 

 

Nearly 200 cities worldwide have metro systems. The combined length of the metro tracks

 

 

 

 

 

exceeds 32 000 kilometres. Light rail systems add 21 000 kilometres of track length, across

 

 

 

 

 

more than 220 cities. The pace of extension of China’s metro network since 1990 has

 

 

 

 

 

outstripped the global average, pushing the country’s share of global metro networks from less

 

 

 

 

 

than 10% in 1990 to more than 28% in 2017. Since urban rail is typically electric, travel by

 

 

 

 

 

metro and light rail systems gives rise to none of the tailpipe emissions associated with road

 

 

 

 

 

transport and can achieve zero-emissions mobility overall.

 

 

 

 

 

About 7% of global freight transport activity, as measured in tonne-kilometres, goes by rail.

 

 

 

 

 

Growth was very rapid at the turn of the century, but slackened and levelled off thereafter. In

 

 

 

 

 

contrast to Europe, Japan and Korea, where rail networks mostly serve passengers, rail

 

 

 

 

 

networks in North America overwhelmingly cater to freight transport. In Russia, more than half

 

 

 

 

 

of freight activity takes place on rail. Australia, Brazil, Canada, India and South Africa also carry

 

 

 

 

 

substantial volumes of goods by rail.

 

 

 

 

 

Rail transport today accounts for close to 2% of final transport energy use, a modest share

 

 

 

 

 

compared with rail’s share of transport activity. Three-quarters of passenger rail transport and

 

 

 

 

 

almost half of all freight rail are electric, using around 290 TWh of electricity every year

 

 

 

 

 

(25 Mtoe). Diesel-powered trains account for the remainder of final energy use (0.6 mb/d, or

 

 

 

 

 

28 Mtoe a year). Electric and diesel trains together give rise to around 3% of all well-to-wheel

 

 

 

 

 

greenhouse gas emissions from the transport sector.

 

 

 

 

 

Although rail is an energy consumer, it also makes an important contribution to containing energy

 

 

 

 

 

demand. If all passenger and freight services currently carried by rail switched to road vehicles, such

 

 

 

 

 

as cars and trucks, global oil demand from transport today would be 16% higher (8 mb/d). The

 

 

 

 

 

contribution rail makes to containing GHG emissions is as significant as its energy savings. If all

 

 

 

 

 

current passenger and freight traffic by rail shifted to road vehicles, global GHG emissions would

 

 

 

 

 

increase by 1.2 Gt of CO2-eq, or 12% more than total emissions from transport today.

 

 

 

reserved.

 

Investment in rail infrastructure is expensive. In order for a rail construction project to pay off,

 

 

 

 

high passenger or freight throughput is necessary. If this condition is met, shifting large

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

quantities of transport away from cars, trucks and planes delivers very important societal and

 

 

 

IEA 2019. All rights

 

environmental benefits, which may not be fully captured in conventional commercial pricing.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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