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The Future of Rail

Opportunities for energy and the environment

IEA 2019. All rights reserved.

movements. Examples of high-speed rail and airport integration already exist in Europe, in the form of co-operative agreements between airlines and rail transport operators.24

Freight rail

As in the case of passenger transport, using rail to transport freight can usually be justified in Page | 122 economic terms only in areas and directions where freight volumes are high. A prerequisite for freight rail infrastructure investment is, therefore, an understanding of existing freight flows,

and the specific characteristics and customer needs of various market segments (Box 3.5).

For freight rail, a key opportunity is to closely connect with other transport modes and to well integrate within the logistics supply chain (i.e. intermodal integration). Containerisation, or the standardisation of the size of freight transport units, is essential to facilitate door-to-door (intermodal) solutions in conjunction with road. Rail can also benefit significantly from the presence of third-partly logistic operators which offer integrated and seamless solutions for goods transport.25

In North America, large intermodal companies, logistics service providers and railways have created large freight terminals (super-hubs). From 2000 to 2017, the number of domestic containers transported in the United States tripled, while international container traffic grew 60% (a 50% faster growth than the US economy). Domestic container transport even continued growing even during the recession of 2008-09 (Figure 3.26).

In Europe many rail freight terminals were developed by local municipalities (or were supported by them) acting together with intermodal companies, and often driven by sustainability concerns. In emerging economies, this market is completely underdeveloped, as neither the private sector nor regional governments have had much success with central planning for railways. The reason is that the economies of scale of freight rail usually favour long distances that cross municipal, district and provincial boundaries. Overcoming the resulting barriers requires planning driven by regional entities and national governments (and involving inter-ministerial collaboration).26 One obstacle in emerging economies is that the type of intervention required (such as logistics hubs) usually depends upon private sector inputs, but many countries are not well-disposed or geared towards public-private partnerships. Pro-active policy development in finance ministries on how to structure public-private partnerships is recommended.

24 For example, the AIRail Service provided by Lufthansa and Deutsche Bahn has connected Frankfurt airport with Stuttgart since 2001, and with Cologne since 2003. In France, Air France and SNCF launched TGV AIR in 1994, under which the intermodal passenger transportation between Paris’ Charles de Gaulle airport (CDG) and Lille is exclusively operated by TGV. Similarly, Thalys International has co-operated with several airlines (Air France, KLM, American Airlines, Lufthansa and SN Brussels) to provide intermodal services to passengers on three Thalys links, namely, Brussels-CDG, Anvers-Schiphol, and Paris (Nord)-Brussels National Airport (Jiang and Zhang, 2014).

25 Relevant businesses are classified as firstand second-party logistics service providers, providing basic transport and warehousing services, typically including railway companies and third party logistics contractors, who integrate services to provide a seamless solution, acting as intermediaries between clients and first and second class service providers. The presence of these intermediaries can lead to effective exploitation of the advantages of railways over other modes of

reserved.

transport. To seize these opportunities, freight rail needs to be an integrated component of freight logistics solutions. This is

 

 

likely to be facilitated by progressive evolution towards an open, shared and modular system wherein physical goods are

 

moved on multiple transport modes using standardised containers, a common protocol and tools, and shared transport and

rights

technological assets (IEA, 2017).

26 Joint planning between rail and road interests, based on total freight-flow analysis (Table 3.2), can strengthen the

 

All

utilisation of freight rail infrastructure by fostering intermodality, and favouring investment in intermodal facilities, terminals

and logistics. This can improve rail’s position in the supply chain by stimulating infrastructure development close to supply

2019.

and demand, and decreasing last-mile distances. These actions can also deliver improvements in road freight logistics,

 

IEA

shortening distances, improving the chance that road vehicles will keep appointments and eliminating road freight waste.

 

IEA 2019. All rights reserved.

IEA 2019. All rights reserved.

The Future of Rail

 

 

Opportunities for energy and the environment

 

 

Box 3.5

Better understanding of freight flows and market segmentation for freight rail transport

 

 

 

Knowledge of freight routes and volumes can typically be gained through commodity flow

 

surveys, freight movement analysis, gravity models and econometric estimation methods. The

 

objective should always be complete knowledge of all freight flows per commodity between all

 

regions on all modes within a country, an understanding of the relative cost involved for each

 

flow, and a long-term forecast of shifts in freight flows. The regions and commodities should be

 

Page | 123

disaggregated to the finest possible level to allow the accurate identification and sizing of

 

freight market segments, so as to identify rail friendly freight. Such detailed analysis in major

 

emerging economies has enabled the identification of five main freight-flow segments. These

 

five segments are shown in Table 3.2, as well as the identification of their corresponding

 

infrastructure characteristics, economic potential and status of rail availability in emerging

 

regions.

 

Table 3.2 Freight-flow segments and corresponding rail requirements, potential and development status

 

Market

Bulk mineral

Mineral

 

Movement of

Movement of

 

Rural freight

 

 

segment

exports or

distribution

 

intermediate

manufactured and

 

 

 

 

 

imports

industries

 

manufactured

fast-moving

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

commodities

consumer goods

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

between distribution

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

centres

 

 

 

 

Typical

Coal, iron ore,

Coal, iron ore,

 

Steel coils,

Palletised

 

Mixed

 

 

commodities

manganese

manganese

 

bulk cement

commodities that can

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

easily be

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

containerised

 

 

 

 

Network

Dense

Purpose-built

 

Connecting

Dense corridors

 

Low-density

 

 

 

purpose-built

lines (often

 

industries

 

 

flows

 

 

 

lines

through rural

 

through

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

areas)

 

sidings

 

 

 

 

 

Terminals

A few

Connection

 

Siding-to-

Intermodal facilities

 

Rural

 

 

 

densified and

between

 

siding traffic

linked with sidings

 

distribution and

 

 

 

purpose-built

purpose-built

 

 

 

 

collection

 

 

 

loading points

loading points

 

 

 

 

centres

 

 

 

 

and sidings

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Rail solution

Heavy-haul or

Unit trains

 

Groups of

Heavy intermodal

 

Wagon loads

 

 

 

unit trains

between

 

coupled

unit trains between

 

with facilities for

 

 

 

between

mines and

 

wagons

logistics hubs

 

connecting and

 

 

 

industries and

industries

 

between

 

 

disconnecting

 

 

 

ports

 

 

sidings

 

 

wagons

 

 

Road

No road

Limited road

 

Some road

Seamless interface

 

Typically more

 

 

interface

redistribution

redistribution

 

redistribution

between road and

 

road-friendly

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

rail, will always

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

require last-mile

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

distribution

 

 

 

 

Modal shift

High - often

High - 60-80%

 

Medium –

Medium - often 40-

 

Low potential

 

 

potential to

100%

of all freight

 

often 40-60%

60% of all long-

 

 

 

 

rail

 

 

 

of all freight

distance unitised

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

fast-moving

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

consumer goods

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

movements close to

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

densified corridors

 

 

 

 

Status of rail

Medium:

High

 

Medium:

Low: service, no

 

Medium

 

 

offering in

heavy-haul is

 

 

service

designed rail/road

 

 

 

 

emerging

often not

 

 

levels, often

interface or managed

 

 

 

 

economies

installed

 

 

heavily

supply chain

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

contested

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Notes: Sidings are

a side-track that

is distinct from the

running track. Sidings are constructed to

be able to connect a

 

manufacturing site to the running track, or to let a faster train pass a slower one on a given track. Source: Based on Havenga (2012).

Key message • The potential to shift freight transport activity to rail is highest for bulk minerals for export. For intermediate manufactured commodities, intermodal developments are crucial.

The Future of Rail

Opportunities for energy and the environment

IEA 2019. All rights reserved.

Better understanding freight flows at the national level and understanding spatial and sectoral quantification of market segments is important. With an accurate model, the ideal rail markets can be accurately identified and rail infrastructure investments and delivery services appropriately targeted. An example of such quantified freight flows in two emerging market economies (India and South Africa) is provided in Figure 3.25. For both countries, domestic intermodal flows of manufactured and fast-moving consumer goods (column 4 in Table 3.2) are highlighted to showcase rail potential.

Page | 124

Figure 3.25 Examples of freight-flow modelling to inform rail potential and infrastructure investments

All freight

All rail freight

All domestic intermodal

potential

 

 

India

South Africa

Export coal (rail-only)

Export iron ore (rail-only)

Export coal (rail-only) Export iron ore (rail-only)

(not to scale)

Source: Simpson, Havenga and Aritua (2016).

Key message • Corridors with high density of goods movements and relevant market segmentation have the greatest relevance for investments in freight rail infrastructure.

IEA 2019. All rights reserved.

IEA 2019. All rights reserved.

IEA 2019. All rights reserved.

The Future of Rail

 

Opportunities for energy and the environment

 

 

Figure 3.26 Number of containers used in intermodal transport relative to GDP in the United States, 2000-17

 

350

 

 

300

 

 

250

Page | 125

= 100)

200

 

(2000

150

 

Index

 

 

 

 

100

 

 

50

 

 

0

 

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

 

 

Domestic containers

International standardised containers

 

GDP (USD 2010)

 

 

 

Note: GDP= gross domestic product.

Source: Intermodal Association of North America (2018).

Key message • The number of domestic containers and international containers has grown faster than GDP since 2000; domestic intermodal movement increased much faster than international traffic.

Fiscal measures, in particular congestion charges and emission taxes based on use of the transport network and externalities, are the most direct policies to increase the competitiveness of freight rail. They make freight rail more cost competitive against road freight, especially over longer distances, and may support the development of concentrated freight corridors. Fiscal measures can also alter the trade-off between long transport requirements and local production (some emerging economies enjoy low production costs and economies of scale), and may favour domestic and regional freight over maritime freight movements, supporting production closer to the centre of demand, and ultimately reduce total freight activity demand.

Box 3.6 Case of the Alpine initiative in Switzerland

In 1994, comprehensive action to support a shift to rail in freight transport was approved by voters in Switzerland, the Swiss Alpine initiative (Federal Office of Transport, 2016a). The principle adopted was that the capacity of transalpine roads should not be increased, and that additional transalpine freight traffic was to be carried by rail.27 The goal was to limit the number of trucks crossing the Alps on an annual basis.

The measures adopted included road charges on freight vehicles, introduced in 2001, investments in new rail infrastructure and rail reform. The road charges apply to all road freight vehicles over 3.5 tonnes, which pay between USD 0.023 and USD 0.031 per tonne-kilometre (depending on the pollutant emissions performance) (Federal Customs Administration, 2018). The result has been a doubling of the tonnage transported per truck (i.e. higher utilisation), compared to 1999, faster fleet renewal and a significant decline in the number of transalpine heavy-duty truck crossings (Figure 3.27) (Sperlich, 2018).

Two-thirds of the revenues from the road charges are used to finance improvements in the rail infrastructure, including network expansion, higher efficiency and lower travel times. The Gotthard Base tunnel will be the longest railway tunnel in the world at 57 kilometres when completed in 2020.

27 Transalpine traffic refers to international freight moving from Switzerland, France and Austria to Italy, and vice-versa.

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