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Term IV

_____________________________________Unit 8_________________________________

1. Answer the questions:

Why are there periods when a country's economy works more strongly than others?

What do you know about inflation?

2. The phrases below will help you to read and to translate the text “Inflation”:

persistent rise - постійне піднесення

demand-pull inflation - інфляція попиту

with no corresponding rise in output без відповідного піднесення виробництва

cost-push inflation - інфляція витрат

expectational or anticipated inflation - очікувана інфляція

consequences – наслідки

creeping or mild inflation - повзуча, або м'яка інфляція

to outstrip - переганяти, випереджувати

owing to trade union militancy - завдяки войовничості профспілок

may pose few difficulties особливих проблем не становить

in order to improve their profit margins - для збільшення розмірів прибутку

galloping or hyper-inflation - галопуюча, або гіпер-інфляція

to stretch - натягувати, напружувати

entails enormously high rates of inflation означає (веде до) величезного зростання інфляції

argue - тут доводити, стверджувати

Retail Prices Index (RPI) - індекс роздрібних цін

regardless - не зважаючи

insurmountable - колосальні, численні

3. Read and translate the text “Inflation”:

Inflation is generally defined as a persistent rise in the general price level with no corresponding rise in output, which leads to a corresponding fall in the purchasing power of money. It leads to a redistribution of income and wealth, often hurting sections of society with little economic power (e.g. pensioners); affects balance of payments because exports become relatively expensive and therefore less competitive as imports become relatively cheaper. Other consequences of inflation are uncer­tainty about the value of money or the real meaning of prices and resource costs of frequently changing prices.

Inflation occurs in many countries but at different rates; it varies consi­derably in its extent and severity. There are different rates of inflation: from gentle creeping (mild) inflation (perhaps 5% per annum), which may pose few difficulties to business, to galloping or hyper-inflation (say, 100% +), which entails enormously high rates of inflation and create almost insurmountable problems for the government, business, consumers and workers.

Demand-pull inflation occurs when demand for the nation's goods and services outstrips that nation's ability to supply these goods and services. This causes prices to rise generally as a means of limiting demand to the available supply.

An alternative way that we can look at this type of inflation is to say that it occurs when injections exceed withdrawals and the economy is already stretched (i. e. little available labour or factory space) and there is little scope to increase further its level of activity.

Cost-push inflation. Alternatively, inflation can be of the cost-push variety. This takes place when firms face increasing costs. This could be caused by an increase in wages owing to trade union militancy, the rising costs of imported raw materials and components or companies pushing up prices in order to improve their profit margins.

A further problem is that once the rate of inflation has begun to increase, a serious danger of expectational inflation will occur. This means that there will arise a generally held view of what inflation is likely to be, regardless of whether the factors that have caused inflation are still there or not. To protect future income, wages and prices will be raised now by the expected amount of future inflation.

The monetarists argue that inflation is caused by increase in the supply of money.

We can establish how much inflation there is in our economy by measur­ing it. The most common way of doing this is by using the Retail Prices Index (RPI). A collection of goods and services is decided upon. These are then priced in the base year and each month they are priced again. If, on average, they have increased by 12% after twelve months then there is an annual rate of inflation of 12%. There are also other indicators of inflation in the eco­nomy. Wholesale prices can be measured, house prices, prices of industrial output at the factory gate, import prices and the level of retail sales.