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CHAPTER 3. INFANT MORTALITY IN THE REPUBLIC OF INGUSHETIA.

STRUCTURE. DETERMINANTS. TRENDS

3.1. Analysis of infant mortality rates

The indicator of infant mortality is extremely important for assessing the socioeconomic well-being of the territory, as it is included in the system of 12 indicators of the level and quality of life of the population established by the WHO. It accumulates the results of the impact of socio-economic, organizational, medical, and managerial factors, reveals the share of participation in it of exogenous and endogenous causes. That is why the dynamics of the indicator itself, and the structure of its causes, and the indicators, its components, and the assessment of the conditions for its formation are also important. The characteristics obtained, their assessment, and the dynamics of indicators will provide an opportunity to plan preventive measures, strategies to reduce infant mortality, increase the role of responsibility centers, and develop criteria for evaluating the work of maternal and child health services in the direction of reducing infant mortality.

The dynamics of infant mortality in the Republic of Ingushetia reflected a positive downward trend in the indicator, decreasing from 10,9‰ in 2017 to 6,2‰ in 2018, 5,9‰ in 2019, 5.6‰ in 2020, 5.5‰ - in 2021. The downward trend was steady. The correlation coefficient was 0,7, the determination coefficient was 0,95, the probability of an error-free forecast was p < 0,05 (figure 3.1).

Figure 3.1 - Dynamics of infant mortality in the Republic of Ingushetia in 20172021 (‰).

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The neonatal mortality rate declined unevenly, from 6,8‰ in 2017 to 4,4‰ in 2021. The downward trend was steady. The correlation coefficient was 0.67, the determination coefficient was 0,95, the probability of an error-free forecast was p < 0,05 (figure 3.2).

Figure 3.2 - Dynamics of neonatal mortality in the Republic of Ingushetia in 2017-2021 (‰).

Early neonatal mortality accounted for more than 70% in the structure of neonatal mortality, decreasing dynamically and unevenly from 4,8‰ in 2017 to 3,2‰ in 2021. The correlation coefficient was 0.67, the determination coefficient was 0,95, the probability of an error-free forecast was p < 0.05 (figure 3.3).

Figure 3.3 - Dynamics of early neonatal mortality in the Republic of Ingushetia in 2017-2021 (‰).

The indicator of late neonatal mortality was up to 30% of neonatal mortality and decreased dynamically and unevenly from 2,1‰ in 2017 to 1,1‰ in 2021. The

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correlation coefficient was 0,67, the determination coefficient was 0,95, the probability of an error-free forecast was p < 0,05 (figure 3.4). In fact, early neonatal mortality was equated with endogenous mortality closer to the time of birth and closely (r=0.7) related to maternal health. Neonatal mortality was largely due to exogenous causes, which need to be worked on for a long time and systematically, using adequate measures to prevent complications of pregnancy and childbirth, somatic diseases, combat bad habits, and increase the medical activity of mothers.

In the structure of mortality, infants of the first six months of life were in the lead - 65%, of which infants of the second - 30% and the fourth month of life - 15% prevailed. This age group of the deceased included children who survived the neonatal age as a result of intensive treatment in obstetric and other specialized institutions (cardiac surgery, etc.), who had a severe, more often congenital pathology (CM, IUI, etc.), which arose antenatally and was closely associated with pathology of mother.

Figure 3.4 - Dynamics of late neonatal mortality in the Republic of Ingushetia in 2017-2021 (‰).

Postneonatal mortality occupied a share of up to 40% in the structure of infant mortality, since neonatal mortality was the leading one. This component of late mortality testified to the effective organization of care for the mother and newborn in the perinatal center, high levels of drug provision, comfort of the wards, communicative competencies, and compliance with the rules of ethics and deontology by medical and nursing staff.

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The dynamics of late neonatal mortality was positive, characterizing a decrease in levels from 2,1‰ in 2017 to 1,1‰ in 2021. The correlation coefficient was 0,67, the determination coefficient was 0,95, the probability of an error-free forecast was p < 0,05 (figure 3.5).

Figure 3.5 - Dynamics of late neonatal mortality in the Republic of Ingushetia in 2017-2021 (‰).

The quality management of pregnancy and childbirth, the level of medical activity, the effectiveness of measures of state support for motherhood and childhood were indirectly evidenced by the stillbirth rate, which reflected the health status of mothers, the impact of perinatal risk factors for newborns, and the quality of care for a pregnant woman and a woman in labor. In the period before the National Projects "Healthcare" and "Demography", the stillbirth rate was 14‰, and 3 years after the start of financing the healthcare system under the National Projects "Healthcare" and "Demography", the value of the indicator significantly decreased to 1,2‰, and the downward trend was stable, and the coefficients of correlation (0,9), determination (0,85) and the probability of an error-free forecast (p <0,05) confirmed this fact (figure 3.6).

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Figure 3.6 - Stillbirth dynamics in the Republic of Ingushetia in 2017-2021

(‰).

To assess the performance of maternal and child health services, proposed by WHO through the indicator of the effectiveness of anteand postnatal prevention of infant mortality, the P/R coefficient (the ratio of late and early mortality) was calculated, the values of which were equal to: 0,11 in 2017, 0,12 - in 2018, 0,10 - in 2019, 0,2 - in 2020, 0,19 - in 2021. All values fit into the category "Very high level of prevention", characterized by the values "0,3 and <" (Table 3.1).

Table 3.1 - The level of effectiveness of anteand postnatal prevention of infant mortality.

 

Rate

 

 

 

 

 

Early mortality

Late mortality

Coefficient P/R

Year

 

 

 

 

2017

 

18,8

2,1

0,11

2018

 

6,8

0,8

0,12

2019

 

7,7

0,8

0,10

2020

 

5,2

1,1

0,20

2021

 

5,7

1,1

0,19

3.2. Gestational structure of infant mortality

The gestational structure of infant mortality indicated that the first ranking place among the dead infants was occupied by those born at 37-41 weeks of fetal development both among boys (48,9%) and girls (65,2%), the second ranking place was occupied by those born before the 36th week of pregnancy, both boys (42,0%) and

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girls (30,4%), the third ranking place fell on boys (9,1%) and girls (4,4%) born in the interval from 42 to 44 weeks ) (Table 3.2).

Table 3.2 - Gestational structure of infant mortality, (%).

Percentage of deaths

Before 36

37-41weeks.

42-44

All

under 1 year of age

weeks.

 

weeks.

 

by gestational

 

 

 

 

age, %

 

 

 

 

Gender

 

 

 

 

Boys

42,0

48,9

9,1

100,0

Girls

30,4

65,2

4,4

100,0

The distribution of children who died under the age of one year by gestational groups corresponded to the occupancy of the newborn groups themselves: the largest share was in the group born at 37-41 weeks of pregnancy, the smallest - at 42-44 weeks.

3.3. Structure of causes of infant mortality

Causes of infant mortality in the Republic of Ingushetia were assigned to class XVI "Certain conditions arising in the perinatal period" and class XVII "Congenital anomalies [malformations], deformities and chromosomal disorders." In 2017, the first place in the structure of causes of infant mortality was occupied by Birth trauma, accounting for 33,4%, the second place - Slow growth and malnutrition of the fetus and Congenital anomalies [malformations], deformities and chromosomal disorders, 22,2% each, respectively, the third place - Disorders associated with shortened pregnancy and low birth weight and Infectious diseases specific to the perinatal period by 11,1%, respectively (Table 3.3).

In 2018, the first place was shared by Congenital anomalies [malformations], deformities and chromosomal disorders (28,6%) and Infectious diseases specific to the perinatal period (28,6%), the second place - Disorders associated with shortened pregnancy and small birth weight, birth trauma, stunted growth and malnutrition of the fetus by 14,3%, respectively (Table 3.3).

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In 2019, Infectious diseases specific to the perinatal period ranked first in the structure of causes of infant mortality, accounting for 33,3%, and Disorders associated with shortened pregnancy and low birth weight, Birth trauma, Congenital anomalies [malformations], deformities and chromosomal abnormalities and Slowed growth and malnutrition of the fetus - the second place, accounting for 16,7%, respectively (Table 4).

In 2020, Infectious diseases specific to the perinatal period were in first place, accounting for 33,3% in the structure of all causes, the second place was shared by Disorders associated with shortened pregnancy and low birth weight, Birth trauma, Congenital anomalies [malformations], deformities and chromosomal disorders and Slow growth and malnutrition of the fetus - the second place, accounting for 16,7%, respectively (Table 3.3).

In 2021, Infectious diseases specific to the perinatal period were consistently in the first place, accounting for 42,8% in the structure of all causes, the second place was shared by Disorders associated with shortened pregnancy and low birth weight, Birth trauma, Congenital anomalies [malformations development], deformities and chromosomal disorders and Slow growth and malnutrition of the fetus, accounting for 14,3%, respectively (Table 3.3).

Table 3.3 - Structure of causes of infant mortality according to ICD -10, %

Pathology

XVI.

XVI.

XVII.

XVI. (P35-

XVI.

Totall

 

(P)

(P10-P15)

(Q00-

P39)

(P 05)

 

Years

 

 

Q99)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2017

11,1

33,4

22,2

11,1

22,2

100,0

2018

14,3

14,3

28,6

28,6

14,3

100,0

2019

16,7

16,7

16,7

33,3

16,7

100,0

2020

16,7

16,7

16,7

33,3

16,7

100,0

2021

14,3

14,3

14,3

42,8

14,3

100,0

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3.4. Exogenous factors of infant mortality

The analysis of infant mortality from the standpoint of exogenous causes was

carried out taking into account the following criteria:

-sex structure

-place of residence

-state of dispensary observation,

-patronage work for children,

-type of feeding

-infant vaccinations

-timing of treatment in an outpatient facility,

-outpatient treatment and diagnostic process since the last illness,

-compliance with its clinical protocols of the treatment and diagnostic process,

-timing of patients' admission to the hospital from the moment of the onset of the disease,

-hospitalization denials.

An analysis of the sex structure among deceased infants indicated that more than 60% of those who died under the age of 1 year were boys and up to 40% were girls (Table 5).

Table 3.4 - Distribution of infant mortality by gender (%).

Gender

Boys

Girls

Total

Year

 

 

 

2017 г.

67,5

32,5

100,0

2018 г.

60,0

40,0

100,0

2019 г.

85,7

14,3

100,0

2020 г.

80,0

20,0

100,0

2021 г.

75,0

25,0

100,0

This reflected the general trend in the human population: the predominance of males at birth, their more intense decrease in the course of life due to greater vulnerability, the excess of male mortality over female, which led to the predominance of women in the population from the age of 30 by 2 -7%.

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The geographical structure of infant mortality demonstrated its predominance in the Nazran district of the Republic of Ingushetia as the most densely populated. The Sunzhensky District, together with the city of Sunzha, which is part of it, occupies the 2 nd place in terms of the number of population in the Republic of Ingushetia after the Nazranovsky District and only slightly ahead of the Malgobeksky District, together with the city of Malgobek, accounted for the rest of the infant mortality of the Republic. There was no infant mortality in Malgobek, Dzheyrakhsky districts, Magas city (Table 3.5).

Table 3.5 - Distribution of infant mortality by place of residence, (%).

District of the

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Republic of

The

The

The

Dzheyra

 

 

 

Ingushetia

Sunzhen

Malgobek

Karabula

Magas

 

Nazran

khsky

Total

 

sky

sky

ck city

city

 

district

district

 

 

District

District

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Years

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2017 г.

50,0

50,0

0

0

0

0

100,0

2018 г.

60,0

40,0

0

0

0

0

100,0

2019 г.

83,3

0

0

0

16,7

0

100,0

2020 г.

57,1

28,6

0

0

14,3

0

100,0

2021 г.

80,0

20,0

0

0

0

0

100,0

Examination of defects in the work of the pediatric service in the system of

primary health care showed:

-in 50% of cases, primary patronage for children was carried out later than 3 days after discharge from the maternity hospital or other hospital) (Table 3.6),

-dispensary observation (according to the terms of the examination, consultations of specialists, etc.) in 75% of cases was carried out not in accordance with the clinical protocol and directive acts (Table 3.7),

-only 50% of children were breastfed (Table 3.8),

-vaccination was not carried out in 85% of cases (Table 3.9).

Parents' appeals to the local doctor in connection with the last ("fatal") disease

amounted to only 30%, which emphasized the low rating of children's polyclinics

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among the population, distrust of the local pediatrician and violation of patient routing, congestion in hospitals (Table 3.10).

Table 3.6 - Primary medical patronage (after 3 days) in the group of children who died under the age of 1 year in the Republic of Ingushetia, (%).

 

Proportion of children, primary

 

Years

medical patronage for which was

Total

 

carried out later than 3 days

 

2017 г.

50,0

100,0

2018 г.

51,0

100,0

2019 г.

49,0

100,0

2020 г.

48,0

100,0

2021 г.

52,0

100,0

Table 3.7 - Dispensary observation carried out not in accordance with the decreed terms and volumes in the group of children who died under the age of 1 year in the Republic of Ingushetia, (%).

Years

The proportion of children whose dispensary observation was not

Total

carried out in accordance with the decreed terms and volumes

 

 

2017

75,0

100,0

2018

76,0

100,0

2019

74,0

100,0

2020

75,0

100,0

2021

75,0

100,0

Table 3.8 - Breastfeeding in the group of children who died under the age of 1 year in the Republic of Ingushetia, (%).

Years

The proportion of children, "D" observation of which was carried out

Total

not in accordance with the decreed terms and volumes

 

 

2017

50,0

100,0

2018

52,0

100,0

2019

48,0

100,0

2020

49,0

100,0

2021

51,0

100,0

Table 3.9 - Vaccination level in the group of children who died under the age of 1 year in the Republic of Ingushetia, (%).

Years

Vaccination level

Total

2017

15,0

100,0

2018

15,0

100,0

2019

18,0

100,0

2020

12,0

100,0

2021

15,0

100,0

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