Sutyrin lopullinen julkaistava
.pdf
Russian accession to the WTO
www.worldec.ru
Liberalization of Ukraine sugar market
=> domestic producers lost 11% of inner market
For Finnish pulp&paper industry annual gains of new RF export regulation might equal to 20 mln. euro
Lower import duties on paper and cardboard products (Finnish export to Russia 450 mln. euro) might reduce total costs down to 10 mln. euro enhancing competitiveness of these goods
Russia and WTO |
11 |
Russian accession to the WTO
www.worldec.ru
New opportunities for foreign businesspeople :
- Additional demand for their products resulting
from
a)reduction of trade barriers
b)lower prices for goods and services for Russian consumers, wider supply, better quality
c)growth of Russian population living standards
Russia and WTO |
12 |
Russian accession to the WTO
www.worldec.ru
Average monthly wage in RF (USD)
2008 |
2009 |
2010 |
2011 |
|
|
|
|
608 |
795 |
865 |
1041 |
|
|
|
|
Russia and WTO |
13 |
Russian accession to the WTO
www.worldec.ru
New opportunities for foreign businesspeople :
- Additional demand for their products resulting from
a)reduction of trade barriers
b)lower prices for goods and services for Russian consumers, wider supply, better quality
c)growth of Russian population living standards
d)better macroeconomic performance
Russia and WTO |
14 |
Russian accession to the WTO
www.worldec.ru
Annual changes in some RF macroeconomic indicators
(%%)
|
2009 |
2010 |
2011 |
2012 |
2013(e) |
2014(e) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
GDP |
-7.8 |
4.3 |
4.3 |
4.5 |
3.7 |
3.4 |
|
|
|
|
(H1) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Import |
-30 |
26 |
22 |
3.7 |
6 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
(1-8) |
|
15 |
|
|
|
Russia and WTO |
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Russian accession to the WTO
www.worldec.ru
BOFIT sees Russia’s WTO membership could boost
demand for Finnish export so as to add €200–300
million a year to Finnish GDP in medium term
employment gains of 4,500–6,500 jobs over the non-
accession scenario
Russia and WTO |
16 |
Russian accession to the WTO
www.worldec.ru
New opportunities for foreign businesspeople :
-Additional demand for their products
-More predictable and transparent business environment
-Growth of FDI inflows
Russia and WTO |
17 |
Russian accession to the WTO
www.worldec.ru
New threats for foreign businesspeople :
- growth of unemployment;
Russia and WTO |
18 |
Russian accession to the WTO
www.worldec.ru
Ukraine:
Employment in car manufacturing industry
contracted almost 2-fold during 2008-2010
From 36.2 thousand people down to 18.3
thousand people
Russia and WTO |
19 |
Russian accession to the WTO
www.worldec.ru
New threats for foreign businesspeople :
-Growth of unemployment;
-Access for Russian companies to the WTO safeguards and international dispute settlement mechanism;
Russia and WTO |
20 |