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Miller, Ed. Smallll Stakes No-Limit Holdem

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196 SMALL STAKES NO-LIMIT HOLDEM

The flop comes 842. The small blind checks, and so does everyone else.

The turn is the 8. The small blind bets three-fourths of the pot, $7.50, and everyone folds.

The flop comes low and dry. Everyone checks. There’s a good chance no one has a great hand, but there could be a small pair like a four or deuce lurking out there, or maybe a pocket pair like sixes or threes.

On most turn cards, we would recommend you check again due to your many opponents. But the 8is a perfect bluffing card for this board. It’s unlikely anyone has an eight since the flop got checked around. Indeed, from your opponent’s perspective, you, as the small blind, would be the most likely candidate to have one, since you might very well check it cautiously into four hands of unknown strength.

So when you bet the turn, you’re representing something specific: an eight that you checked the first time around. Your opponents likely didn’t have much to begin with, and now they have to worry that they are drawing dead to your trips. This bluff has a good chance to succeed even in a multiway pot.

Typically, you don’t bluff into four opponents because their combined hand ranges are too strong. Someone is likely to have something worth calling with. So it follows that the exception to the rule would come when your opponents happen to have particularly weak hand ranges. This hand is an example of one of the times you can know that your opponents have a far weaker collective hand range than usual. Thus, it’s a good candidate for a rule-breaking hand.

Finally, a quick read of your own hand seals the deal. You could easily have checked top pair on the flop from the small blind. If you were on the button instead, a bluff wouldn’t be as credible since it would be hard for your opponents to imagine that you would give four players a free card holding top pair. You might still try the bluff from the button, but in this situation the small blind is the perfect bluffing position.

PUTTING IT TOGETHER

197

Hand 4

Effective stacks are $200. Everyone folds to the 19/17 button, who opens for $7. He is a solid player, though not too tough or tricky. He opens on the button with a wider than normal range but otherwise plays straightforwardly. You have 65♠ in the small blind and reraise to $23 because a 3-bet will win the pot a large percentage of the time in this spot. The big blind folds, and the button calls.

The flop comes Q73. You c-bet $32 into the $48 pot. The button thinks for a few seconds and calls.

The turn is the 8. You check, and your opponent checks behind. The river is the 2, and you are first to act. Is a bluff worth

considering in this spot?

When your opponent calls your 3-bet preflop, you think his range is QQ-22, AK, maybe AQ-AJ or KQ, and occasionally a suited connector. He would typically 4-bet with pocket aces or kings.

When he flat calls your flop bet, he could have a stubborn JJ or TT, a set, top pair, or a draw like AKor 98.

But when you check the turn and he checks behind, his range narrows a bit further. The board is quite draw heavy on the turn, so the fact that he didn’t bet suggests that his hand lies in the weaker portion of his range. He is very unlikely to have a set, and slightly unlikely to have a queen.

The river is a total blank. If he has a draw, he missed. He might have you beat with a better high card or a weak pair, but he isn’t going to call a big bet. If he has JJ or TT, he called the flop to see if you’d let him get to showdown, but he’s probably not going to call a big bet with either of those hands. The only hands he may check the turn with and then call a big river bet are AQ or KQ. But these are just two hands, and even then he’d sometimes bet the turn.

All in all, this is a decent spot for a big river bluff. The pot is $112, and you have $161 left. Push. He will fold often.

198 SMALL STAKES NO-LIMIT HOLDEM

Hand 5

Effective stacks are $200. You notice three TAGs in the game (all about 21/17), a wet noodle (22/5) in the cutoff, and another one in the small blind (27/9). Under the gun you are dealt A8. What should you do?

Examine both the make-a-hand and steal components of this situation.

A8doesn’t make strong hands often. When you make a pair of aces, your kicker is weak. When you make one pair with the eight, your equity is usually marginal. Your odds of flopping two pair or better are slim. In a typical $1–$2 game you simply won’t make a strong hand and get paid off often enough to play this hand purely for showdown equity.

Tight and shorthanded games often call for planning hands mostly around stealing. But here your steal equity isn’t very good either. You are under the gun, so your position is terrible. If the game were extraordinarily weak-tight, and you had very good reads on your opponents, perhaps then you might raise to take control. But with no reads and a fair possibility of decent players entering the pot behind you, forcing a steal under the gun is a bad idea.

Folding is the correct play here.

Tight play under the gun is important even in games where your primary strategy revolves around stealing. In fact, often the mark of a tough player is a big skew in the number of hands played in early position versus late position. It is not uncommon for a very good player to play three times more hands on the button than under the gun, such as 13 percent under the gun and 39 percent on the button.

If you had A8in the cutoff, and the first two players folded, then you would almost certainly raise. But under the gun, against possibly decent opponents, folding is the best play.

PUTTING IT TOGETHER

199

Hand 6

Effective stacks remain $200. Everyone folds to you in the small blind. You open for $6 with A9♠. The big blind calls. He is a smart regular with stats of 27/24 and a 3-bet percentage of 6.

The flop comes Q93♠. You bet $8 into the $12 pot. He calls. His range is pretty wide at this point. It’s a blind versus blind battle, and from experience you know that he likes to float.

The turn is the K♠, giving you the deceptive backdoor nut flush draw to go along with your pair of nines. You decide to check for a couple of reasons. You want to give your opponent a chance to bluff with his weak hands. And you don’t want to get blown off your draw in case he flopped or turned a strong hand.

You check, and your opponent bets $20 into the $28 pot. You call. The river is the 9, giving you trips. The pot is $68, and you have

$166 left. What should you do?

Against a weaker opponent you might make a value bet, but here checking is a little better. This opponent will bet hands that he will not call with. Complete air is still very much in his range, and he’ll obviously fold that to a bet. Furthermore, your hand probably looks weak from his point of view. After all, you checkcalled an overcard turn and then checked the river. From his perspective, it’s a good spot for him to launch a river bluff. Also, if he has a king, he’s probably going to bet it again anyway for the same reasons. So you don’t have to worry about losing value there. He may even bet a good queen if you check the river. But he might fold that same hand if you lead out for a big bet.

When most players checkcall the turn then lead out strongly on the river, they are rarely bluffing. And smart players will often recognize the strength in that line and fold a lot of hands to the river bet. Therefore, sometimes your best play on the river when heads-up out of position against a decent player is to check, for the simple reason that your opponent will bet a lot more hands than he’ll call with.

200 SMALL STAKES NO-LIMIT HOLDEM

Hand 7

In a $1–$2 game with $200 effective stacks, everyone folds to the small blind, who opens for $6. His stats are 19/17, and he has a Fold To 3-Bet percentage of 81. In position in a blind versus blind battle, you have a profitable 3-bet here with a wide range. You make it $18 with 97. He calls.

The flop is J92, giving you middle pair. You decide you are not committed because your opponent will almost never get all-in without good to excellent equity against your hand. Given that you are not committed, betting this flop can work against you. While betting denies your opponent a free card, it opens you up to a semibluff. The board is fairly draw-heavy, and the pot would be pretty big after a flop bet, so a bet-fold would be too risky. Checking the flop keeps the pot more manageable, gets you closer to showdown, and gives you more options on the turn to use your position.

You check. The turn is the J. Your opponent bets $24 into the $36 pot. What should you do?

This is a great spot for the freeze play. A minraise to $48 forces your opponent to define his hand. If he comes back over the top, you have an easy fold. And if he calls, you often earn yourself a free showdown on the river. Plus, you force hands like AQor 77♠ to either put more money into the pot or fold. That’s good because you get value while you have the best hand, and you minimize your chances of making a mistake on the river. Just make sure you occasionally minraise with strong hands too, or you’ll be telegraphing your modest hand strength.

Hand 8

Stacks are $200. The button raises first-in to $7 with J9♠. A solid pro in the big blind calls. The pot is $15. The flop comes K76. The big blind checks. The button bets $12. The big blind calls. The pot is $39. The turn is the J. It is checked through. The river is the 3. The big blind bets $45. What should the button do?

PUTTING IT TOGETHER

201

A typical decent $1–$2 player usually folds, with the occasional suspicious call. The flop call followed by the big river bet suggests the big blind either hit his draw or flopped two pair or better and on the turn tried to checkraise or induce a bluff. A tougher opponent might also do that with ace-king or king-queen. Of course the big blind could be bluffing, but at first glance it seems unlikely.

Now let’s look at it from the big blind’s perspective. The button raises first in. That means a wide range of hands. The big blind calls. On the flop, the button c-bets. That means the same wide range of hands. The turn goes check-check. What is the button’s range now? By far his most likely hand is nothing or a weak pair. If he had two pair or better he would normally bet the turn. He might have a king, but if you count up all the hands he plays, a king is less likely than a busted hand. Further, suppose the button frequently semibluffs with his flush draws on the turn. Then once he checks the turn, he is less likely to have a flush when the flush draw completes on the river. In that situation, the big blind can profit by overbetting the pot on the river regardless of whether the flush draw completes.

The big blind sees the profit in the line “call preflop out of position, checkcall flop, then bomb the river if the turn is checked.” He can’t do that every time though or the button will catch on. To preserve the play’s effectiveness, he uses it less than half the time and also bets big with made hands. Against weak-tight opponents he can do it more often.

The button should adjust by defending or disrupting the line. Defending the line means playing it with hands that can win on the river. For starters, he might check the turn with any king then call the river. He might also call sometimes with his pair of jacks with a nine kicker. This is why you sometimes see excellent high-stakes pros make unexpected calls with third pair. They know their opponents understand the inherent profitability of that big river bet, so they call down with weaker hands. Top high-stakes pros also occasionally reraise on a bluff. However, on average they lose a lot when they attempt the steal reraise. The benefit comes in the future, when the big blind must make some thin calls himself and is discouraged from making the profitable river bet.

202 SMALL STAKES NO-LIMIT HOLDEM

The button can also disrupt the line. Disrupting the line means letting fewer hands get to that point. How can the button accomplish this? There are several ways. He can tighten up preflop. He can check the flop more. And, after c-betting the flop and getting called, he can bet the turn with nothing more often. Should he do those things?

It depends. The button wants to pick an overall strategy that maximizes profit. Raising first-in from the button is quite profitable for him, so he doesn’t change that. C-betting the flop 80–90 percent of the time also works well for him, so he doesn’t change that. He decides to bet the turn with nothing more often and to call the river with weaker hands more often.

This hand illustrates critical differences between online $1–$2 with several decent players and online $10–$20 filled with strong pros. In $1–$2 most players don’t take full advantage of the profitable line. They might occasionally bluff the river, but they do it infrequently enough that the button doesn’t have to make hero calls. In $10–$20 the big river bet is a normal part of the game. Most players understand the line, and they adjust. These adjustments can lead to crazy hands, like the nut flush getting called down by second pair. In aggressive high-stakes games, if you don’t look like an idiot sometimes, you aren’t calling enough.

So what’s the take-home message? At $1–$2 (and any other stakes where the regulars are reluctant to make big calls), exploit the big river bluff. When you are out of position and call a preflop raiser, then checkcall the flop and see the turn checked through, consider bombing the river.

Do it about a fourth of the time that you miss and work up from there if your opponent doesn’t adjust. Don’t try this against players who call with anything. And don’t forget to make some big bets with your made hands too. But don’t be afraid to deploy the big river bluff. Many of your regular opponents won’t handle it effectively. It can be an enormously powerful blunt instrument with which to crush any online $1–$2 6-max game.

PART 3: 7 EASY STEPS TO

NO-LIMIT HOLDEM

SUCCESS

At this point, your mind may be reeling with advanced strategies. Excellent poker involves adjusting to current conditions, but sometimes the adjustments can obscure the original strategy. The basics still need to be there. They are the foundation that all the adjustments stand on.

So, to refresh your mind on the fundamentals of solid play, we’ve adapted the following section from a series Ed wrote for his website. This section is meant to be a breather—a little easier to read and understand than the parts before and after. It’s a good section to reread in the middle of a downswing when you’re feeling like you just can’t seem to do anything right.

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