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ECofINN Topic 2

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THE DECISION-MAKING PROCESS;

THE BASIC STEPS

Define the problem

Analyze it and evaluate options

Make the decision

Implement the decision

Review the decision

2012-2013 уч.год

©Серова ЕГ serovah@gmail.com

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CHARACTERISTICS OF INFORMATION FOR MANAGEMENT DECISION

strategic

tactical

operational

 

 

Mostly internal

Internal & external

External

information;

information; less detail,

information in

detailed

more summary

summary form

 

2012-2013 уч.год

©Серова ЕГ serovah@gmail.com

12

Inputs

Manager’s

Instruction

Procedures

Technical

Manuals

Options, i knowledge

2012-2013 уч.год

GETTING THE RIGHT INFORMATION TO MAKE DECISION

Output

Team

Product or

service

Knowledge

 

and

Solution to

experience

problem

 

©Серова ЕГ serovah@gmail.com

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FORMAL INFORMATION SYSTEMS FOR

MANAGEMENT SUPPORT

Management information systems (MIS)

Decision support systems (DSS)

Executive support systems (ESS)

Expert Systems (ES)

Knowledge Management Systems (KMS)

2012-2013 уч.год

©Серова ЕГ serovah@gmail.com

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MIS

MANAGEMENT INFORMATION SYSTEMS

Strategic

 

(top-level)

 

managers

External

 

data

Tactical (middle-level) managers

Operational (lower-

level) managers

MIS

TPS

Transaction Processing systems

 

TPS software

 

TPS stored data

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012-2013 уч.год

©Серова ЕГ serovah@gmail.com

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DSS

DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEMS

DSS database

Users

DSS

software

(decision makers)

 

DSS

model base

2012-2013 уч.год

©Серова ЕГ serovah@gmail.com

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Users (top-level managers)

2012-2013 уч.год

ESS - EXECUTIVE SUPPORT SYSTEMS (OR KNOWN AS EXECUTIVE INFORMATION SYSTEM)

External database MIS

database

Special database

ESS

software

Personal database

Electronic mailboxes

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OTHER SYSTEMS

Increasingly, managers are looking at more sophisticated methods such as Expert Systems that mimic the way a human would analyze a situation and recommend a particular course of action, and Knowledge Management systems that can organize, store and enable shared access to the collective knowledge of the organization.

2012-2013 уч.год

©Серова ЕГ serovah@gmail.com

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EXPERT SYSTEMS

ES is the software which

replicates experts-specialists knowledge for novices.

(A computer application that performs a task that would otherwise be performed by a human expert)

2012-2013 уч.год

©Серова ЕГ serovah@gmail.com

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MAIN BLOCKS OF ES

Knowledge base consists of sentences which define

knowledge with the use of super-high-level languages

which are called knowledge representation languages.

It is the kernel of the expert system.

Inference engine is a program which simulates the process of expert reasoning or decision making. Explanation subsystem makes ES transparent, so that user can always receive answer for questions:

HOW and WHY.

2012-2013 уч.год

©Серова ЕГ serovah@gmail.com

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